Externally indexed torrent

If you are the original uploader, contact staff to have it moved to your account

Textbook in PDF format

Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) is remembered amoung probabilitists today particularly for his "Theorie analytique des probabilites", published in 1812. The "Essai philosophique dur les probabilites" is his introduction for the second edition of this work. Here Laplace provided a popular exposition on his "Theorie". The "Essai", based on a lecture on probability given by Laplace in 1794, underwent sweeping changes, almost doubling in size, in the various editions published during Laplace's lifetime. Translations of various editions in different languages have apeared over the years. The only English translation of 1902 reads awkwardly today. This is a thorough and modern translation based on the recent re-issue, with its voluminous notes, of the fifth edition of 1826, with preface by Rene Thom and postscript by Bernard Bru. In the second part of the book, the reader is provided with an extensive commentary by the translator including valuable histographical and mathematical remarks and various proofs.
Front Matter
Front Matter
On probability
General principles of the probability calculus
On expectation
On analytical methods in the probability calculus
On games of chance
On unknown inequalities that may exist between supposedly equal chances
On laws of probability resulting from the indefinite repetition of events
Application of the probability calculus to natural philosophy
Application of the probability calculus to the moral sciences
On the means of the results of a large number of observations
On the probability of testimony
On elections and decisions of assemblies
On the probability of judicial decisions
On tables of mortality and the mean duration of life, marriages and associations in general
On the benefits of institutions that depend on the probability of events
On illusions in the estimation of probabilities
On various approaches to certainty
Historical note on the probability calculus
Back Matter