| to those following polls it is worth realizing that these polls have four and some decimal places margin of errors. applying the margin favorably/unfavorably (accounting for one's political preferences/theories). this michigan poll they are talking about has a whopping 4.3 margin of error, and yet pollsters never seem to list a decimal for their polls. another idiotic oddity of polling that only useless math nerds like nate silver could ever explain away. anyway, 4.3 applied to biden negatively and trump positively results with biden 42.7 and trump 40.3. that should hardly be comforting four months from the election. if that is the situation (and who knows what is, other than the nsa and its contractors, and even still) then that is barely a 2 point lead. this poll without applying that is still up 5 points from the other poll a few days ago that gave him a "16" point lead. these polls are unbelievably unreliable. and this is before the dirtiest campaigning ever commences, which is going to go off around an epic economic crisis which hasn't yet even popped the biggest financial market bubble in the history of the world, and potentially more and more looking like ongoing civil unrest, or as the homeland intro a. jones character said, "civil war", in this case race and partisan related. oh yeah, and a debate(s), which is not going to be kids' gloves this time with "my good friend biden". first wisconsin poll same thing, biden 44.7 and trump 42.3, another two point gap tactically and logically looking through the margin of error for actual strategic politics. basically biden is going to try to let the clock run out by doing nothing for four months (since he is an incapable shell of a politician, a truly fraudulent candidate for our fraudulent time.) this second wisconsin poll actually has trump leading biden, with biden 44.7 and trump 45.3! it is amazing how smug and camplacent neoliberals/former-republicans are, especially on "television". nearly same thing in pennsylvania barely even a point difference. and that is the irony of mika saying "trump carried these states by less than a point". all these polls show that he could easily do it another time. and this next florida poll has got to be kidding! 4.6 margin of error. let's see, so that is biden 42.4 and trump 45.6! az, same, biden 43.7 and trump 45.3. and nc, again, 1 point difference. neoliberal cheerleading mixed with complacency. that is one of trump's "greatest" electoral assets. |